In the early months of the 2024 election, polls have produced some confounding results. Some polls now show young voters evenly divided after supporting Biden by a large margin in 2020, and black voters appear to be becoming much more pro-Trump. Not all polls agree, which has made it difficult to establish a clear narrative about the 2024 race. But in one way, polls are telling a consistent story of the 2024 election: Donald Trump is performing far better with less active voters.
In Vox, Eric Levitz argues Trump’s advantage among these less attentive voters is due to their deep and abiding feelings of distrust. He writes:
Donald Trump redefined the GOP in the eyes of many, associating the party with a paranoid vision of American life and a populist contempt for the nation’s political system. In response, Democrats rallied to the defense of America’s greatness, norms, and institutions. As the parties polarized on the question of whether America was “already great,” voters with high le…
